Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.