Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Portman Road Stadium
  • Leif Davis 32' redcard
  • goal Leandro Trossard 14'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 28'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 69'
  • goal Ethan Nwaneri 88'

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 2.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 2 Ipswich
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Liam Delap

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 5.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 2-1 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Ipswich Town 10.2% (-0.40)
Draw 15.85% (-0.21)
Arsenal 73.95% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.26% (-0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.3% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 35.7% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 42.23% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 57.77% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 23.96% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 76.04% (+0.23)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 55.87% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 44.13% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 19.78% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 80.23% (+0.76)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 91.74% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 8.26% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 71.15% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 28.85% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Ipswich Town 10.2%
Draw 15.85%
Arsenal 73.94%
Ipswich Town
2-1 @ 3.04% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 2.98% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 1.22% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 10.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.64% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 15.85%
Arsenal
0-2 @ 11.33% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 9.42% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 9.09% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 7.71% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 5.87% (+0.16)
1-4 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.09)
0-5 @ 2.93% (+0.09)
1-5 @ 2.4% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.97% (-0.05)
0-6 @ 1.22% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 73.94%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 27, 2024 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 23' goal
  • Kai Havertz 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leif Davis 65'
Premier League
Apr 21, 2002 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lauren 42' yellowcard
  • Freddie Ljungberg 69' goal
  • Freddie Ljungberg 78' goal
Premier League
Dec 1, 2001 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League
Feb 10, 2001 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League
Sep 23, 2000 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Scowcroft 45' yellowcard
  • Marcus Stewart 49' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Keown 34'
  • yellowcard Ray Parlour 39'
  • goal Dennis Bergkamp 84'
Premier League
Apr 15, 1995 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul Merson 33' goal
  • Ian Wright 47' goal
  • Ian Wright 50' goal
  • Ian Wright 56' goal
  • Martin Keown 73' yellowcard
  • John Hartson 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ian Marshall 71'

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups