Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.