Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.55%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.