Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.