Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.09%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.