Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.71%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.