Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.