Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.71%) and 3-0 (10.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.