Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.