Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 3-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.