Conference League
Oct 3, 2024 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Renato Veiga 12' goal
  • Pedro Neto 46' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 63' goal
  • Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 70' goal
  • Axel Disasi 72' yellowcard
  • goal Tsuyoshi Watanabe 50'
  • goal Omri Gandelman 90'
  • yellowcard Archie Brown 90'+5'

Chelsea vs Gent - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Gent

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for Gent had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 57.14% (-0.61)
Draw 21.1% (+0.17)
Gent 21.77% (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.96% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.21% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 36.79% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 41.04% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 58.96% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 22.98% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 77.02% (+0.19)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 87.23% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 12.77% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 60.94% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 39.06% (+0.50)

Gent Goals

Over 0.5 69.89% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 30.11% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 33.75% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 66.25% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Chelsea 57.14%
Draw 21.1%
Gent 21.77%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 7.91% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 57.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.87% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.85% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.1%
Gent
1-2 @ 5.7% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.62% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.77% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.11% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 21.77%

Build-up

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