Taca de Portugal
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Oct 20, 2024 4.15pm
2
0
HT :
0
0
FT
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
-
Junior Pius
20'
-
Junior Pius
40'
-
Ruben Filipe Tavares Pina
68'
-
Paulo Victor
81'
-
Diogo Joao Nogueira Pereira
46'
-
Henrique Manuel Neiva de Almeida Martins
51'
-
Sergio Ribeiro
75'
-
Lucas Villela Iapert
90'+5'
Chaves vs Lusitania FC Lourosa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lusitania FC Lourosa had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Lusitania FC Lourosa win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
Result
Chaves
61.56%
▲
(+0.53)
Draw
22.41%
▼
(-0.11)
Lusitania FC Lourosa
16.03%
▼
(-0.43)
Both Teams to Score:
46.25%
▼
(-0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.76%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
51.24%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
26.92%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 3.5
73.07%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 4.5
12.6%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
87.4%
▲
(+0.17)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
83.82%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
16.18%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
54.35%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
45.64%
▼
(-0.14)
Lusitania FC Lourosa Goals
Over 0.5
55.18%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 0.5
44.82%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 1.5
19.21%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 1.5
80.79%
▲
(+0.60)
Score analysis
Chaves
61.54%
Draw
22.4%
Lusitania FC Lourosa
16.03%
Chaves
1-0
@
13.2%
▲
(+0.18)
2-0 @ 12.02% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 61.54%
2-0 @ 12.02% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 61.54%
Draw
1-1
@
10.59%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.4%
0-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.4%
Lusitania FC Lourosa
0-1
@
5.82%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.03%
1-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.03%