Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Celtic
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Reo Hatate 9' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 11' goal
  • Cameron Carter-Vickers 21' goal
  • Reo Hatate 24' goal
  • Anthony Ralston 90'+3' goal
  • goal Danny Armstrong 29'

Celtic vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 12.00pm
St Johnstone 1 - 0 Celtic
Goals scored
112
Top scorer
Daizen Maeda

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 90.33%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 2.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.18%) and 2-0 (11.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result

Celtic 90.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 7.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Kilmarnock 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.22% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 23.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 56.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 43.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 36.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 63.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 96.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 3.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 86.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 13.91% ▼ (-0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 40.48% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 59.52% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 9.59% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 90.4% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Celtic 90.32%
Draw 7.02%
Kilmarnock 2.64%
Celtic
3-0 @ 12.89% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 11.18% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.15% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
7-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
7-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 90.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.85%
2-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 7.02%
Kilmarnock
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 2.64%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Celtic
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Callum McGregor 12' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 71' goal
  • goal Bobby Wales 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 59'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
Nov 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
Celtic
  • Joe Wright 11' yellowcard
  • Liam Donnelly 83' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 88' yellowcard
  • goal Callum McGregor 45'+4'
  • goal Nicolas Kuhn 71'
  • yellowcard Reo Hatate 80'
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 83'
  • yellowcard Daizen Maeda 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Celtic
Aug 4, 2024 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Reo Hatate 17' goal
  • Liam Scales 40' goal
  • Nicolas Kuhn 59' goal
  • Anthony Ralston 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 70'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
Kilmarnock
May 15, 2024 7.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Rugby Park
Celtic
  • Liam Donnelly 30' yellowcard
  • Robbie Deas 49' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Idah 5'
  • goal Daizen Maeda 12'
  • goal James Forrest 35'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 51'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Celtic
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 32' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 21'
  • yellowcard Lewis Mayo 38'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 73'
  • goal David Watson 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Kilmarnock
Dec 10, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
Celtic
  • Bradley Lyons 41' yellowcard
  • Robbie Deas 69' yellowcard
  • Nat Phillips 75' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 79' yellowcard
  • Matty Kennedy 87' goal
  • goal Matt O'Riley 33'
  • yellowcard Alistair Johnston 83'

Form Data

St Johnstone 1 - 0 Celtic
Celtic 3 - 0 Hearts
Celtic 2 - 3 Rangers
Celtic 2 - 0 Hibernian
St Mirren 2 - 5 Celtic
Celtic 5 - 1 Aberdeen
Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Motherwell
St Mirren 5 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Hibernian
Ross County 1 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 2 - 4 Rangers
Aberdeen 1 - 0 Kilmarnock