Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.