Europa League
Aug 29, 2024 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
  • Ciro Immobile 7' goal
  • Gedson Fernandes 28' yellowcard
  • Semih Kilicsoy 42' yellowcard
  • Emir Han Topcu 61' yellowcard
  • Gedson Fernandes 65' goal
  • Rafa Silva 70' goal
  • Ciro Immobile 71' goal
  • Salih Ucan 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Milton Valenzuela 5'
  • goal Shkelqim Vladi 59'
  • yellowcard Uran Bislimi 90'+1'

Besiktas vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 22, 2024 7.30pm
Lugano 3 - 3 Besiktas

Lugano

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 22, 2024 7.30pm
Lugano 3 - 3 Besiktas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result

Besiktas 51.98% (-0.26)
Draw 23.3% (+0.21)
Lugano 24.71% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.01% (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.28% (-0.90)
Under 2.5 43.72% (+0.90)
Over 3.5 33.89% (-0.89)
Under 3.5 66.11% (+0.89)
Over 4.5 17.44% (-0.66)
Under 4.5 82.55% (+0.66)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5 83.15% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 16.85% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 53.14% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 46.85% (+0.76)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 68.56% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 31.44% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 32.18% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 67.81% (+0.53)

Score analysis

Besiktas 51.98%
Draw 23.3%
Lugano 24.71%
Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.43% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 8.4% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 51.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.3% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.3%
Lugano
1-2 @ 6.32% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.13% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.55% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 22, 2024 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Uran Bislimi 34' goal
  • Ousmane Doumbia 47' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 56' goal
  • Gabriel Paulista 64' goal
  • Milton Valenzuela 77' yellowcard
  • goal Gedson Fernandes 21'
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 45'+2'
  • goal Gedson Fernandes 52'
  • goal Ali Elmusrati 55'
  • yellowcard Jean Onana 84'
Conference League
Dec 14, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Jhon Espinoza 73' yellowcard
  • Albian Hajdari 76' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Jackson Muleka 9'
  • goal Cenk Tosun 36'
  • yellowcard Ege Tiknaz 63'
  • yellowcard Onur Bulut 75'
  • yellowcard Mustafa Erhan Hekimoglu 75'
  • yellowcard Baktiyor Zainutdinov 79'
  • goal Emrecan Terzi 88'
  • redcard Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 90'
Conference League
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
  • Vincent Aboubakar 38' goal
  • Valentin Rosier 43' yellowcard
  • Vincent Aboubakar 52' goal
  • Valentin Rosier 61' redcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Bottani 43'
  • goal Ignacio Aliseda 81'
  • goal Shkelqim Vladi 86'
  • goal Eric Bailly 90' (OG)