Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.