Sep 8, 2024 1.00pm

3

2

HT : 0 2

FT Somerset Park

Anton Dowds 49'
Anton Dowds 69'
George Oakley 70'
Anton Dowds 78'

Callum Smith 11'
Dylan Easton 15'
Lewis Gibson 18'
Ross Matthews 40'

Ayr United vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

D
W
W
W
W
W

Raith Rovers

All competitions

L
L
W
W
L
D

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result

Ayr United 44.57% ▼ (-1.15)

Draw 25.41% ▲ (+0.39)

Raith Rovers 30.02% ▲ (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score:

54.34% ▼ (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.78% ▼ (-1.26)

Under 2.5 49.21% ▲ (+1.26)

Over 3.5 28.72% ▼ (-1.15)

Under 3.5 71.28% ▲ (+1.15)

Over 4.5 13.8% ▼ (-0.78)

Under 4.5 86.2% ▲ (+0.79)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 77.94% ▼ (-1.05)

Under 0.5 22.06% ▲ (+1.05)

Over 1.5 44.6% ▼ (-1.60)

Under 1.5 55.4% ▲ (+1.61)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 69.71% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 0.5 30.29% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 1.5 33.53% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 1.5 66.47% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Ayr United 44.56%

Draw 25.41%

Raith Rovers 30.02%

Ayr United

1-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.20)

2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.13)

2-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.09)

3-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.22)

3-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.17)

3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.14)

4-1 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.14)

4-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.12)

4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 2.31%

Total : 44.56%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.06% ▲ (+0.22)

0-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.34)

2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.10)

3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 0.13%

Total : 25.41%

Raith Rovers

0-1 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.39)

1-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.11)

0-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.22)

1-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)

2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.05)

0-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.09)

Other @ 3.14%

Total : 30.02%

Head to Head

Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Somerset Park

Anton Dowds 40'
George Stanger 45'+1'
Ethan Walker 90'

Dylan Easton 33'
Shaun Byrne 38'
Ross Matthews 65'
Aidan Connolly 88'

Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Stark's Park

Dylan Easton 45'+2'
Jack Hamilton 65'
Dylan Easton 67'
Shaun Byrne 68'

Nick McAllister 6'
Logan Chalmers 55'
Jack Sanders 71'

Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT Somerset Park

Roy Syla 11'
Mark McKenzie 15'
Ben Dempsey 36'

Zak Rudden 5'
Lewis Vaughan 45'+2'
S. Brown 88'
Scott Brown 88'

Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm

4

4

HT : 2 1

FT Stark's Park

Sam Stanton 30'
Lewis Vaughan 45'
Shaun Byrne 58'
Lewis Vaughan 81'
Lewis Vaughan 90'+1'

Aiden McGeady 29'
Sean McGinty 43'
Ben Dempsey 55'
Logan Chalmers 63'
Ahkeem Rose 85'

Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 4

FT Somerset Park

Anton Dowds 50'
Anton Dowds 50'
Nick McAllister 56'
Nick McAllister 56'
Jack Young 82'
Jack Young 82'

Dylan Easton 23'
Dylan Easton 23'
Dylan Easton 26'
Dylan Easton 26'
Lewis Vaughan 56'
Lewis Vaughan 56'
Liam Dick 79'
Liam Dick 79'

Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Frankie Musonda 55'

Form Data

Dunfermline 1 - 1 Ayr

Ayr 2 - 0 Raith Rovers

Ayr 3 - 2 Hamilton

Ayr 5 - 0 Airdrieonians

Hamilton 0 - 2 Ayr

Ayr 3 - 2 Buckie Thistle

Raith Rovers 0 - 1 Livingston

Ayr 2 - 0 Raith Rovers

Kirkcaldy & Dysart 0 - 3 Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Partick

Airdrieonians 1 - 0 Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Hamilton