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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 41.7% | 26.02% | 32.28% |
| Both teams to score 53.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.08% | 50.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% | 72.79% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% | 58.5% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% | 65.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.7% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.71% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.28% |