Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.