Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm

Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

D
D
W
W
L
W

League One

D
D
W
W
L
W

Last game

Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm

Cambridge 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon

Goals scored

6

Top scorer

Myles Hippolyte

Stevenage

All competitions

D
W
L
W
W
D

League One

D
L
W
W
D
D

Last game

Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm

Stevenage 0 - 0 Sheff Weds

Goals scored

11

Top scorer

Oliver Sanderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 34.48% ▲ (+0.06)

Draw 28.2%

Stevenage 37.28% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score:

49.39% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.56% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 1.5 30.44% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 2.5 43.67% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 2.5 56.33% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 3.5 23.34% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 3.5 76.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 12.22% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 4.5 87.78% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 24.28%

Draw 41.53%

Stevenage 34.18%

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 41.11% ▼ (-0.03)

No Goal 9.25% ▲ (+0.03)

Stevenage 49.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.8%

Equal 8 12.09%

Under 8 29.12%

Over 9 46.34%

Equal 9 12.46%

Under 9 41.2%

Over 10.5 34.67%

Under 10.5 65.33%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 31.89%

Under 1.5 68.11%

Over 2.5 11.44% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 88.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 96.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 68.4% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 0.5 31.6% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 1.5 34.04% ▼ (-0.14)

Under 1.5 65.96% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 2.5 12.94% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 2.5 87.06% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 4.22% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 95.78% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 34.49%

Draw 28.2%

Stevenage 37.28%

AFC Wimbledon

1-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 7.38%

2-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 2.92%

3-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 1.87%

Other @ 3.34%

Total : 34.49%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.23%

0-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 28.2%

Stevenage

0-1 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 37.28%

Head to Head

Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Lamex Stadium

James Tyrrell Reid 10'
J. Roberts 78'
James Tyrrell Reid 78'
L. Thompson 78'
Jasper Pattenden 78'
Beryly Lubala 86'
D. Sweeney 90'+7'

Zack Nelson 65'
Jake Reeves 65'
Omar Bugiel 65'
Robert Junior Nkeng 77'
Antwoine Hackford 77'

Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jake Reeves 64'

Lewis Freestone 67'
Jordan Houghton 68'
Harvey White 73'

Sep 2, 2025 7.00pm

1

5

HT : 0 0

FT

Sep 5, 2023 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

ET Kingsmeadow

Harry Pell 14'
Josh Davison 33'
Joe Lewis 71'
Paris Lock 90'
Paris Lock 90'

Alex MacDonald 40'
Harrison Neal 46'
Jamie Reid 55'
Jake Forster-Caskey 75'
Nathan Thompson 88'

Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT The Lamex Stadium

Jordan Roberts 4'
Jamie Reid 61'

Ali Al-Hamadi 11'

Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm

2

3

HT : 1 0

FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Ali Al-Hamadi 39'
Ali Al-Hamadi 74'

Carl Piergianni 55'
Kasey McAteer 61' (OG)
Luke Norris 83'

Form Data

Cambridge 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Doncaster

Bromley 0 - 2 AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Wigan

Stevenage 0 - 0 Sheff Weds

Walsall 1 - 6 Stevenage

Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Stevenage

Stevenage 2 - 1 Luton

Barnsley 1 - 5 Stevenage

Peterborough 0 - 0 Stevenage