CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Independence Park
  • Javon East 7' yellowcard
  • Kasey Palmer 37' goal
  • Kaheim Dixon 51' yellowcard
  • Rumarn Burrell 53' goal
  • Richard King 72' yellowcard
  • Renaldo Cephas 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Darwin Lom 1'
  • goal Óscar Santis 2'
  • goal Óscar Santis 67'
  • yellowcard William Fajardo 84'

Jamaica vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

Guatemala

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.04% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%) , while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Jamaica 57.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 23.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Guatemala 19.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.39% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.06%
Under 2.5 45.94%
Over 3.5 32.1%
Under 3.5 67.9%
Over 4.5 20.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.71% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Jamaica 43.95%
Draw 38.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Guatemala 17.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Jamaica 60.01%
No Goal 6.41%
Guatemala 33.58%

Corners

Over 8 47.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 41.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 36.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 52.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 26.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 73.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Jamaica Goals

Over 1.5 54.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 45.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 30.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 69.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 13.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 86.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 52.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 47.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 21.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.93%
Under 3.5 98.07%

Score analysis

Jamaica 57.68%
Draw 23.04%
Guatemala 19.31%
Jamaica
1-0 @ 10.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 13.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 57.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 4.43%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.04%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.31%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 17, 2025 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Damion Lowe 19' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Santis 32'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Gameweek 5
Jun 11, 2025 12.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jon Russell 26' goal
  • Warner Brown 37' goal
  • Warner Brown 73' goal
International Friendlies
Nov 12, 2023 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cementos Progreso
  • yellowcard Maalique Foster 80'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 9, 2023 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • goal Amari'i Bell 51'
International Friendlies
Apr 15, 2023 1.00am
Nissan Stadium