J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 3, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Junior Santos 62' goal
  • goal Noriyoshi Sakai 90'+1'

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Jun 19, 2021 11.00am
Hiroshima 1 - 0 Reysol
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Junior Santos

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Jun 23, 2021 11.00am
Yokohama 2 - 0 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Keita Yamashita

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.6%
Draw 28.35%
Sagan Tosu 21.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

38.96%

Goals

Over 2.5 34.7%
Under 2.5 65.29%
Over 3.5 15.9%
Under 3.5 84.1%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 73.7%
Under 0.5 26.3%
Over 1.5 38.58%
Under 1.5 61.42%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 52.86%
Under 0.5 47.14%
Over 1.5 17.41%
Under 1.5 82.59%

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.58%
Draw 28.34%
Sagan Tosu 21.05%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 16.55%
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.32%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 3.7%
4-0 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 50.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 12.39%
2-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 28.34%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 21.05%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 13
May 8, 2021 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 50'
J1 League Gameweek 15
Oct 3, 2020 9.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Yuya Asano 21' goal
  • Yuki Nogami 27' yellowcard
  • Shunki Higashi 45'+1' goal
  • Toshihiro Aoyama 56' goal
  • yellowcard Fuchi Honda 51'
J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 12, 2020 10.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Ryo Nagai 89'