Africa Cup of Nations Gameweek 1
Ivory Coast
Dec 24, 2025 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Marrakech
Mozambique
  • Amad Diallo 49' goal
  • Yan Diomande 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Witi 35'
  • yellowcard Witiness Quembo 35'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 55'

Ivory Coast vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Mozambique

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.26% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.13%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%) , while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.

Result

Ivory Coast 76.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 16.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Mozambique 7.22% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.54% ▲ (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 47.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 29.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 70.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 85.38% ▼ (-0.05)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 89.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 10.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 65.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 34.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 40.92% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 59.08% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 9.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 90.17% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 76.5%
Draw 16.26%
Mozambique 7.22%
Ivory Coast
2-0 @ 15.78% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 14.13% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 76.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 16.26%
Mozambique
0-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 7.22%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Ivory Coast
Nov 13, 2021 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Mozambique
  • Max Gradel 10' goal
  • Maxwel Cornet 61' goal
  • Jean Michael Seri 90' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Kambala 85'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mozambique
Sep 3, 2021 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ivory Coast

Form Data

Oman 0 - 2 Ivory Coast
Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast 3 - 0 Kenya
Seychelles 0 - 7 Ivory Coast
Gabon 0 - 0 Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Burundi
Chad 2 - 2 Mozambique
Morocco 1 - 0 Mozambique
Somalia 0 - 1 Mozambique
Mozambique 1 - 2 Guinea
Mozambique 2 - 0 Botswana
Uganda 4 - 0 Mozambique

Build-up

Feature