Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.63% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%) , while for a Osijek win it was 1-2 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.