Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Boluspor had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Boluspor win was 1-2 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.