Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Ivory Coast win was 2-1 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.