Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oman in this match.