Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Iran had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%).
