Mali national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 9, 2020 at 6pm UK
 
Ghana national football team

Mali
3 - 0
Ghana

Traore (3'), Bilal Toure (49'), Haidara (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lomotey (57')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Mali and Ghana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Ghana win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawGhana
39.19%27.4%33.41%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.79%56.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74%77.26%
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05%27.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42%63.58%
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.91%
Score Analysis
    Mali 39.18%
    Ghana 33.41%
    Draw 27.4%
MaliDrawGhana
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 39.18%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.41%