International Friendlies
Oct 9, 2020 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hamari Traore 3' goal
  • El Bilal Toure 49' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 75' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Lomotey 57'

Mali vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

Ghana

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Ghana win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result

Mali 39.19%
Draw 27.4%
Ghana 33.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.34%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.79%
Under 2.5 56.21%
Over 3.5 22.74%
Under 3.5 77.26%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 72.05%
Under 0.5 27.95%
Over 1.5 36.42%
Under 1.5 63.58%

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 68.48%
Under 0.5 31.52%
Over 1.5 32.09%
Under 1.5 67.91%

Score analysis

Mali 39.18%
Draw 27.4%
Ghana 33.41%
Mali
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 39.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.4%
Ghana
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.41%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 21, 2017 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Asamoah Gyan 22' goal
  • Asamoah Gyan 82' yellowcard
Africa Cup of Nations
Feb 9, 2013 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Mahamadou Samassa 0' goal
  • Seydou Keita 0' goal
  • Sigamary Diarra 0' goal
  • goal Kwadwo Asamoah 0'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 24, 2013 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wakaso Mubarak 0' goal