International Friendlies
Oct 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova
  • Ali Samooh 11' redcard
  • goal Husseyn Chakroun 3'
  • goal Husseyn Chakroun 36'
  • goal Husseyn Chakroun 41'
  • goal Ahmed Maish Rasheed 55'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • goal Ali Kassas 85'
  • goal Ali Kassas 90'+2'

Maldives vs Lebanon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maldives

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 28, 2026 3.00pm
Kyrgyzstan 5 - 0 Maldives

Lebanon

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 29, 2026 5.00pm
Lebanon 0 - 0 Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 62.1%. A win for Maldives had a probability of 21.11% and a draw had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.93%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Maldives win was 2-1 (4.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.56%).

Result

Maldives 21.11% ▲ (+0.49)
Draw 16.75% ▼ (-0.15)
Lebanon 62.1% ▼ (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.2% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.95% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 15.05% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 65.45% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 2.5 34.55% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 43.5% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 56.5% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 4.5 30.97% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 4.5 69.03% ▼ (-0.46)

Maldives Goals

Over 1.5 25.77% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 1.5 74.23% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 2.5 11.05% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 2.5 88.95% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 3.5 4.11% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 95.89% ▼ (-0.35)

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5 84.57% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 15.43% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 62.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.8% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 38.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 61.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 21.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.95% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Maldives 21.12%
Draw 16.75%
Lebanon 62.1%
Maldives
2-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.35)
Total : 21.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 16.75%
Lebanon
0-2 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 7.93%
1-2 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 20.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 62.1%