MLS Playoffs
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Lionel Messi
27'
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Lionel Messi
27'
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Sergio Busquets
42'
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Sergio Busquets
42'
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Telasco Segovia
54'
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Telasco Segovia
54'
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David Martinez
61'
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David Martinez
61'
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Luis Suarez
68'
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Luis Suarez
68'
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Luis Suarez
71'
-
Luis Suarez
71'
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Lionel Messi
87'
-
Lionel Messi
87'
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George Campbell
58'
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George Campbell
58'
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Dante Sealy
74'
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Dante Sealy
74'
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Victor Loturi
90'+2'
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Victor Loturi
90'+2'
Inter Miami vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.41%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result
Inter Miami
58.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
20.5%
▲
(+0.01)
CF Montreal
21.17%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
62.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.3%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
34.7%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
43.35%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
56.65%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
24.89%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
75.1%
▲
(+0.06)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5
88.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
11.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
63.05%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
36.95%
▲
(+0.03)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5
70.57%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
29.43%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
34.57%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
65.43%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Inter Miami
58.33%
Draw
20.5%
CF Montreal
21.17%
Inter Miami
2-1
@
9.7%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.92%
3-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 58.33%
2-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.92%
3-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 58.33%
Draw
1-1
@
9.07%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.5%
2-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.5%
CF Montreal
1-2
@
5.54%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 21.17%
0-1 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 21.17%
Head to Head
Major League Soccer
-
Bryce Duke
22'
-
Bryce Duke
22'
-
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
32'
-
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
32'
-
Samuel Piette
43'
-
Samuel Piette
43'
-
Matias Rojas
44'
-
Matias Rojas
44'
-
Luis Suarez
45'+3'
-
Luis Suarez
45'+3'
-
Serhiy Krivtsov
55'
-
Serhiy Krivtsov
55'
-
Benjamin Cremaschi
59'
-
Benjamin Cremaschi
59'
-
Sergio Busquets
68'
-
Sergio Busquets
68'
Major League Soccer
-
Federico Redondo
19'
-
Tomas Aviles
49'
-
Serhiy Krivtsov
57'
-
Leonardo Campana
71'
-
Jordi Alba
80'
-
Leonardo Campana
86'
-
Noah Allen
90'+3'
-
Fernando Alvarez
13'
-
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
63'
-
Matias Coccaro
75'
-
Ibrahim Sunusi
78'
-
Raheem Edwards
90'+3'
Major League Soccer
-
Chinonso Offor
53'
-
Chinonso Offor
53'
Major League Soccer
-
Serhiy Krivtsov
41'
-
Shanyder Borgelin
76'
Major League Soccer
-
Joel Waterman
85'
-
Djordje Mihailovic
5'
-
Lassi Lappalainen
8'
-
Kei Kamara
36'
Major League Soccer
-
Romell Quioto
5'
-
Romell Quioto
21'
-
Joel Waterman
31'
-
Gonzalo Higuain
6'
-
Emerson Rodriguez
79'