Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for MTK had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Puskas Academy in this match.