Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Guyana had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Guyana win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.