CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 3.00am
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Darwin Lom 8' goal
  • R. Rubín 28' goal
  • William Fajardo 32' goal
  • J. Aparicio 56' goal
  • Darwin Lom 62' yellowcard
  • William Fajardo 89' goal
  • William Fajardo 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jefferson Valladares 62'

Guatemala vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Jamaica 3 - 2 Guatemala

El Salvador

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%).

Result

Guatemala 41.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 26.64% ▲ (+0.08)
El Salvador 31.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.43% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Guatemala 29.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 46.13% ▼ (-0.03)
El Salvador 24.35% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Guatemala 49.73% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
El Salvador 43.03% ▼ (-0.16)

Corners

Over 8 55.57% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 10.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 33.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 44.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 10.58%
Under 9 44.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 10.5 35.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 64.85% ▲ (+0.10)

Guatemala Goals

Over 1.5 41.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 58.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 18.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.92% ▲ (+0.04)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 65.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 12.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Guatemala 41.94%
Draw 26.64%
El Salvador 31.41%
Guatemala
1-0 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.64%
El Salvador
0-1 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 31.41%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 15, 2025 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 5, 2025 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Jun 1, 2025 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Finley Stadium
  • 25' yellowcard
  • 25' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • 89' goal
  • 89' goal
  • goal Darwin Lom 41'
  • goal Darwin Lom 41'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard 85'
International Friendlies
Jul 28, 2024 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Jefry Leonardo Bantes Rodriguez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Cruz 34'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cruz 34'
  • goal 37'
  • yellowcard Elias Ezequiel Rivas Munoz 70'
  • yellowcard Elias Ezequiel Rivas Munoz 71'
  • goal Elias Ezequiel Rivas Munoz 83'
  • goal Elias Ezequiel Rivas Munoz 83'
  • yellowcard Melvin Cartagena 90'+2'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 8, 2023 3.10am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
  • Carlos Mejia 15' goal
  • Carlos Mejia 15' goal
  • Nicolas Samayoa 47' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Saravia 47' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Samayoa 47' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Saravia 47' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mejia 64' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mejia 64' yellowcard
  • Pedro Altan 78' goal
  • Pedro Altan 78' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Martinez 16'
  • yellowcard Cristian Martinez 16'
International Friendlies
Apr 25, 2022 12.30am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 37' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Morales 25'
  • goal Oscar Santis 55'
  • goal Oscar Santis 59'
  • goal Stheven Robles 75'