Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Ionikos had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest Ionikos win was 0-1 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panetolikos in this match.