Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.