Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 44%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.