Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | El Salvador |
| 51.77% | 23.8% | 24.43% |
| Both teams to score 55.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% | 46.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% | 68.45% |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% | 17.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.42% | 48.57% |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% | 32.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% | 69.57% |
| Score Analysis |
Qatar 51.76%
El Salvador 24.43%
Draw 23.79%
| Qatar | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.6% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.52% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.43% |


