Africa Cup of Nations Gameweek 2
Dec 28, 2025 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade d'Agadir
  • Bruno Ecuele Manga 39' yellowcard
  • Bruno Ecuele Manga 40' yellowcard
  • Andre Poko 44' yellowcard
  • André Poko 44' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 45'+5' goal
  • Alex Moucketou-Moussounda 76' goal
  • yellowcard Alfons Amade 34'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Amade 34'
  • yellowcard Alfons Amade 35'
  • goal Faisal Bangal 37'
  • goal Geny Catamo 42'
  • goal Diogo Calila 52'
  • yellowcard Ernan 87'
  • yellowcard Ernan Siluane 87'

Gabon vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 24, 2025 8.00pm
Cameroon 1 - 0 Gabon

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 24, 2025 5.30pm
Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Mozambique

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.73% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.21%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%) , while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

Gabon 68.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 20.73% ▲ (+0.07)
Mozambique 10.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.9% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.29% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 55.71% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 23.14% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 76.85% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 10.2% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 89.8% ▲ (+0.09)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5 84.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 15.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 55.94% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 44.06% ▲ (+0.17)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 43.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 56.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 11.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 88.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gabon 68.74%
Draw 20.73%
Mozambique 10.52%
Gabon
1-0 @ 16.21% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 15.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 68.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.73%
Mozambique
0-1 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 10.52%