Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 28, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Gabon
2 - 3
Mozambique

Aubameyang (45+5'), Moucketou-Moussounda (76')
Ecuele Manga (39'), Ecuele Manga (40'), Poko (44')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bangal (37'), Catamo (42' pen.), Calila (52')
Amade (34'), Amade (35'), Ernan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Gabon and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Gabon 2-3 Mozambique
Sunday, December 28 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Gabon vs. Ivory Coast
Wednesday, December 31 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Mozambique

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Gabon 2-3 Mozambique
Sunday, December 28 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Mozambique vs. Cameroon
Wednesday, December 31 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.73% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.21%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%) , while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Mozambique
68.74% ( -0.11)	20.73% ( 0.07)	10.52% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 36.9% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.29% (

-0.16)

55.71% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14% (

-0.13)

76.85% (

0.13)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.68% (

-0.09)

15.32% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.94% (

-0.17)

44.06% (

0.16)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.58% (

-0.03)

56.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.29% (

-0.02)

88.71% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gabon 68.74%

Mozambique 10.52%

Draw 20.73%

Gabon	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 15.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 68.74%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.73%	0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 10.52%