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Fulham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
Craven Cottage
Burnley logo

Fulham
0 - 2
Burnley


Zambo Anguissa (40'), Lemina (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Westwood (35'), Wood (44')

Preview: Fulham vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fulham will welcome Burnley to Craven Cottage on Monday evening knowing that a defeat to the Clarets would see them relegated back to the Championship for the 2021-22 campaign.

Scott Parker's side are currently 18th in the Premier League table, nine points behind 17th-placed Burnley, with both sides having four games of the 2020-21 season left to play.


Match preview

Fulham's Mario Lemina celebrates scoring against Liverpool in the Premier League on March 7, 2021© Reuters

A mini-revival earlier this year aided suggestions that Fulham could escape the bottom three, but the Cottagers have now lost five of their last six Premier League matches, including a 2-0 loss at Chelsea last time out, picking up just a single point during that run.

As a result, the Cottagers are 18th in the table, nine points behind 17th-placed Burnley, meaning that a defeat for the home side on Monday evening would confirm their relegation back to the second tier.

At one stage, Newcastle United appeared to be the side that Fulham could catch, but the Magpies are now 13th in the table, helped by their impressive 4-2 win over Leicester City on Friday evening.

Fulham have simply not won enough matches this season, picking up maximum points in just five of their 34 Premier League matches, and they are now only one point ahead of 19th-placed West Bromwich Albion.

Parker's team will be targeting wins in their next four matches against Burnley, Southampton, Manchester United and Newcastle, but it does appear that the club are heading back to the Championship.

Burnley's Chris Wood celebrates scoring against Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League on April 25, 2021© Reuters

Burnley, meanwhile, will enter Monday's clash off the back of a 2-1 home defeat to West Ham United, with Michail Antonio scoring a brace for the Champions League-chasing Hammers.

Sean Dyche's side recorded a 4-0 win away to Wolverhampton Wanderers on April 25, but they have actually lost four of their last five in the league, which has seen them slide down into 17th spot in the table.

The Clarets have avoided defeat in eight of their 17 away league fixtures this term and will be taking on a Fulham side with the worst home record in the 2020-21 Premier League season.

A defeat for Burnley on Monday would certainly leave them looking over their shoulder, though, particularly ahead of two tough fixtures against Leeds United and Liverpool, before finishing the season away to already-relegated Sheffield United.

Dyche's team have already won at Craven Cottage this term, recording a 3-0 victory in the FA Cup back in January, but the points were shared in a 1-1 draw in the reverse league fixture at Turf Moor in February.

Fulham Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Burnley Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Burnley's Chris Wood celebrates scoring against Aston Villa in the Premier League on January 27, 2021© Reuters

Fulham will again be without the services of Terence Kongolo due to a knee injury, while Tom Cairney is not expected to be involved despite recently returning to first-team training.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek will be back in the squad, having been unable to face parent club Chelsea last time out, while Harrison Reed trained on Friday, and the hosts are hopeful that the midfielder will be able to shake off a knock in time for the key encounter at Craven Cottage.

Loftus-Cheek could operate in the number 10 spot behind Josh Maja, while Ademola Lookman and Bobby Decordova-Reid should feature in the wide areas for the strugglers.

As for Burnley, leading scorer Wood is available despite being withdrawn in the latter stages of the team's 2-1 defeat to West Ham on Monday evening due to a dead leg.

Robbie Brady and Kevin Long remain on the sidelines, but midfielder Dale Stephens is in contention, meaning that Dyche does have options for change at Craven Cottage.

Jay Rodriguez and Ashley Barnes are pushing for spots in the final third of the field, but Matej Vydra is likely to keep his spot alongside Wood as part of a front two.

Fulham possible starting lineup:
Areola; Aina, Andersen, Adarabioyo, Robinson; Reed, Lemina; Reid, Loftus-Cheek, Lookman; Maja

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Brownhill, Cork, Westwood, McNeil; Wood, Vydra


SM words green background

We say: Fulham 1-0 Burnley

It is win or bust for Fulham, who are now very much in last-chance saloon. The Cottagers have been poor at home for long stages of the season, but we just have a feeling for them on Monday. It is not expected to be a classic Premier League encounter, but Fulham could keep their survival hopes alive with a narrow victory.

Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Fulham vs Burnley

Fulham
30.1%
Draw
22.3%
Burnley
47.6%
355
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Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured on April 25, 2021
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1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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