Club Friendlies 4
Aug 14, 2026 4.30pm
Estadio La Florida

Portugalete vs Barakaldo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugalete

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 5.30pm
Sestao River 2 - 1 Portugalete

Barakaldo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 5.00pm
Barakaldo 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao B

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugalete win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Barakaldo has a probability of 33.41% and a draw has a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugalete win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Barakaldo win is 0-1 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Portugalete 40.37% (-1.63)
Draw 26.22% (+0.13)
Barakaldo 33.41% (+1.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.26% (+0.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.19% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 26.81% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 48.23% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 51.77% (-0.67)
Over 3.5 25.66% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 74.34% (-0.65)
Over 4.5 13.81% (+0.51)
Under 4.5 86.19% (-0.52)

First Half Winner

Portugalete 31.71% (-0.43)
Draw 43.14% (-0.21)
Barakaldo 25.15% (+0.63)

Team To Score First

Portugalete 51.55% (-0.35)
No Goal 7.8% (-0.17)
Barakaldo 40.65% (+0.51)

Corners

Over 8 49.87% (+0.68)
Equal 8 11.82% (+0.10)
Under 8 38.3% (-0.80)
Over 9 38.56% (+0.54)
Equal 9 11.31% (+0.16)
Under 9 50.13% (-0.68)
Over 10.5 28.6% (+0.38)
Under 10.5 71.4% (-0.37)

Portugalete Goals

Over 1.5 38.31% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 61.69% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 15.01% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 84.99% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 4.99% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.01% (+0.06)

Barakaldo Goals

Over 0.5 66.54% (+1.36)
Under 0.5 33.46% (-1.36)
Over 1.5 32.53% (+1.66)
Under 1.5 67.47% (-1.66)
Over 2.5 12.55% (+0.99)
Under 2.5 87.45% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 3.65% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 96.35% (-0.45)

Score analysis

Portugalete 40.37%
Draw 26.21%
Barakaldo 33.41%
Portugalete
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.43)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.88% (-0.11)
Total : 40.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.05)
Total : 26.21%
Barakaldo
0-1 @ 8.84% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 4.97% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.54% (+0.40)
Total : 33.41%