Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pohronie win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Lokomotíva Zvolen had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pohronie win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 3-1 (6.36%). The likeliest Lokomotíva Zvolen win was 1-2 (5.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.