Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zemplin Michalovce win with a probability of 54.5%. A win for Lokomotíva Zvolen had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zemplin Michalovce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Lokomotíva Zvolen win was 1-2 (5.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.