Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tivat win with a probability of 39.1%. A draw had a probability of 31.22% and a win for Jezero had a probability of 29.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Tivat win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.93%) , while for a Jezero win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.