Club Friendlies 4
Aug 15, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio El Rubial
  • Javi Castedo 32' goal

Aguilas vs Lorca Deportiva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aguilas

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 6.00pm
Aguilas 0 - 0 Cieza

Lorca Deportiva

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 8.15pm
Lorca Deportiva 0 - 1 Murcia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aguilas win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lorca Deportiva had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aguilas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Lorca Deportiva win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood.

Result

Aguilas 53.62% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 25.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Lorca Deportiva 20.63% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.87% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 32.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 41.96% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 58.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 22.12% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 77.88% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 12.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.87% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Aguilas 33.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 48.78% ▲ (+0.07)
Lorca Deportiva 17.88% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Aguilas 56.59% ▲ (+0.12)
No Goal 9.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Lorca Deportiva 34.01% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 43.26% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 12.3%
Under 8 44.44% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 32.09% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 56.74% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 10.5 22.74% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 10.5 77.26% ▲ (+0.16)

Aguilas Goals

Over 1.5 44.25% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 55.75% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 19.17% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 80.83% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 6.99% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 93.01% ▼ (-0.10)

Lorca Deportiva Goals

Over 0.5 53.28% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 46.72% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 19.25% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 80.75% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 5.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 94.78% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aguilas 53.61%
Draw 25.82%
Lorca Deportiva 20.63%
Aguilas
1-0 @ 14.92% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.58% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 53.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.82%
Lorca Deportiva
0-1 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 20.63%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 4
Aug 6, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco