Club Friendlies 4
Aug 12, 2026 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
  • yellowcard João Pedro Palmberg 7'
  • goal Pablo Reyes Ruiz 34'
  • yellowcard Javi Moreno 38'

Lorca Deportiva vs Real Murcia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorca Deportiva

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 7.30pm
Lorca Deportiva 0 - 0 Aguilas

Real Murcia

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 7.30pm
Cieza 1 - 4 Murcia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Murcia win with a probability of 42.53%. A draw had a probability of 30.67% and a win for Lorca Deportiva had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Murcia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.8%) , while for a Lorca Deportiva win it was 1-0 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.

Result

Lorca Deportiva 26.8%
Draw 30.67%
Real Murcia 42.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 63.28%
Under 1.5 36.72%
Over 2.5 36.72%
Under 2.5 63.28%
Over 3.5 18.53%
Under 3.5 81.47%
Over 4.5 9.47%
Under 4.5 90.53%

First Half Winner

Lorca Deportiva 18.04%
Draw 52.52%
Real Murcia 29.44%

Team To Score First

Lorca Deportiva 34.99%
No Goal 12.79%
Real Murcia 52.22%

Corners

Over 8 48.99%
Equal 8 12.73%
Under 8 38.28%
Over 9 36.88%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 51.01%
Over 10.5 26.36%
Under 10.5 73.64%

Lorca Deportiva Goals

Over 1.5 22.91%
Under 1.5 77.09%
Over 2.5 6.69%
Under 2.5 93.31%
Over 3.5 1.69%
Under 3.5 98.31%

Real Murcia Goals

Over 0.5 69.7%
Under 0.5 30.3%
Over 1.5 33.87%
Under 1.5 66.13%
Over 2.5 12.96%
Under 2.5 87.04%
Over 3.5 4.22%
Under 3.5 95.78%

Score analysis

Lorca Deportiva 26.82%
Draw 30.68%
Real Murcia 42.52%
Lorca Deportiva
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 5.89%
2-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.8%
0-0 @ 12.79%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.68%
Real Murcia
0-1 @ 14.12%
0-2 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.85%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 42.52%