Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Weiz had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Weiz win was 2-1 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.