Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thór win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Moss had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thór win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Moss win was 1-2 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.