Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit II win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for SKA-Khabarovsk had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest SKA-Khabarovsk win was 1-0 (10.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.